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          【国际资讯】交易商期待OPEC采取行动,推动石油价格回升

          发布日期:2020-03-05 点击:

          石油市场又一次期待OPEC救市,这一乐观情绪促使油价在周一下午上涨4%,周二上午又上涨超过2%。

          上周油价暴跌使之成为多年来油价最低迷的一周后,这样的乐观情绪令人欣喜。

          上周,全球新冠病毒的确诊病例不断增加,市场担忧病毒会在中国以外的国家继续扩散。部分人认为病毒在三月会更加肆虐,分析家也在上周再次下调石油需求预期。

          上周有传言OPEC提议为其成员国在现有协议下再减产100万桶/天,而俄罗斯迟疑不决,市场担心OPEC将无力弥补石油需求减少造成的损失。

          另一传言是即使没有俄罗斯共同参与,部分OPEC成员国也将自行减产。但是OPEC否认了这些传言。

          这周,日益临近的3月5-6日的OPEC会议使交易商们备受鼓舞,因为会议可能做出减产的决定。虽然俄罗斯总理普京曾谨慎地指出当前油价对俄罗斯财政预算影响不大,但他今日表示会与OPEC合作,不过未具体说明俄罗斯会遵守何种协定。

          然而,现实情况是新冠病毒正对石油工业步步紧逼,继续扼杀经济活动,阻拦旅行,最后,将需求剥离已经库存充足的全球石油市场。

          由于本周美联储和其他中央银行将尽快采取行动,减轻该病毒对经济的影响,促使交易商重塑信心。

          来源:OilPrice


          Oil Prices Climb As Traders Expect Action From OPEC

          The oil markets are expecting yet again that OPEC will be the hero of oil prices, and this optimism has sent oil prices up 4% on Monday afternoon, and up more than 2% on Tuesday morning.

          The optimism is a welcomed event after last week’s falling prices that saw oil have the worst week in years.

          Last week, the concern was that the coronavirus was continuing to spread to countries other than China, with the number of confirmed coronavirus cases also continuing to climb. Analysts lowered again oil demand projections last week, with some suggesting that March will see even more virus fallout than February did.

          While rumors had surfaced last week that OPEC had proposed to its members an additional 1 million bpd cut from its current agreement, Russia had been dragging its feet and markets were nervous that OPEC would not be able to do enough to offset the loss in demand.

          Another rumor surfaced that several OPEC members would cut production on their own, without Russia, if need be, but OPEC denied the rumors.

          This week, traders are invigorated as we approach the March 5-6 OPEC meeting date that could result in additional cuts and Russian President Vladimir Putin said today that he would cooperate with OPEC+, although he was careful to point out that the current oil prices suit Russia’s budget just fine. Putin offered no specifics as to what kind of deal Russia would comply with.

          The reality, however, is that COVID-19 is still breathing down the neck of the oil industry, threatening to continue to stifle economic activity, disrupt travel, and ultimately, strip demand out of the already inventory-rich global oil markets.

          Traders also have renewed faith this week that the Federal Reserve—and other central banks—will act soon to mitigate the effects that the virus is having on the economy.